Pork Supply and Demand Trends for 2025
The pork industry is expected to take a cautious but strategic approach in 2025, balancing steady profits with ongoing challenges says a new report by RaboResearch report.
While production costs are projected to decrease, uncertainties in global trade and animal health remain. Producers are focusing on efficiency, productivity, and adapting to changing consumer demands.
Despite profitable conditions in 2024, herd expansion is slow says the RaboResearch Report. Modest production increases are expected in China, Brazil, and Mexico, while the EU and the US may see slight declines. Sustainable profitability will be essential for attracting investment.
Experts predict stable global pork supply, growing by less than 1% in 2025. Supply and demand conditions vary by region, with ample availability in the US, China, and Brazil, while the EU, Japan, and the Philippines may experience tighter supply.
Pork remained more affordable than other meats in 2024, a trend likely to continue in 2025 due to lower feed costs and improved productivity. Pork demand is expected to rise in North America and Brazil, where beef supply is limited. European markets may see seasonal price increases, while Asia faces fluctuations, with lower prices in China and South Korea but strong demand in Japan and Southeast Asia.
Trade conditions remain uncertain due to fluctuating import trends and potential policy changes. High tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada could disrupt markets, leading to retaliatory measures impacting pork trade.
Geopolitical developments, such as a potential Ukraine-Russia ceasefire, may also influence feed prices and production costs according to the RaboResearch Report. Additionally, disease outbreaks, such as foot and mouth disease in Germany, add to market volatility.
Challenges like African swine fever and PRRSv continue to impact production and exports. Investments in vaccination, biosecurity, and disease prevention are increasing.
Sustainability and animal welfare concerns are also driving technological advancements. Farms are integrating automation, AI, and digital tools for monitoring animal health and enhancing biosecurity. These innovations aim to strengthen industry resilience and long-term growth the report says.
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