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Surge in U.S. crop yields drives down farmer profits

Oct 15, 2024
By Farms.com

Unprecedented crop sizes to lower prices, hurt profits

 

Farmers in the United States are gearing up for an unprecedented season, with the U.S. Department of Agriculture projecting record yields for both corn and soybeans.

The latest data suggests that corn farmers might harvest about 15.2 billion bushels, marking a slight increase from previous estimates. For soybeans, the forecast is set at 4.6 billion bushels, slightly below earlier projections due to reduced yields.

These potentially historic harvests are expected to be the largest ever for soybeans and the second-largest for corn, as stated by USDA Chief Economist Seth Meyer.

The abundance of produce, however, is set to have a detrimental effect on prices, with the season-average price predictions holding steady despite these large volumes.

Economic conditions for farmers continue to deteriorate, driven by an oversupply in the market, high input costs, and bleak trade outlooks.

The sentiment among farmers has dipped to the lowest since 2016, reflecting growing concerns over their economic futures. A significant proportion of farmers cite falling prices as their primary worry, with pessimism surrounding export growth reaching new heights.

These challenging times highlight the difficulties faced by the agricultural sector, influenced by both domestic policies and international market dynamics.

As farmers navigate these turbulent waters, the broader implications for the agricultural industry and rural economies are profound, reshaping expectations and strategies for the foreseeable future.


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USDA surprised with higher 2026 U.S. corn yields but it’s early with just over 20% of the U.S. harvest complete. NE, IA and IL corn and soybean yields continue to hold up the national average corn and soybean yields.
U.S. corn crop conditions fell 3% to 54% G-E and NE corn yield goes up 11 bpa with the 2nd wettest to record wet month of September and harvest only 15% complete??????
Some regions in the U.S. had the hottest summer in 140 years while others had record flooding?????
The Black Sea region is worse not better.
Brazilian real rally.
Brazil looks dry into November.
+ CFTC.