Farms.com Home   Ag Industry News

Trump announces signing date for deal with China

Trump announces signing date for deal with China

The two countries will put pen to paper on the phase one agreement Jan. 15

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

The United States and China have set a date to sign phase one of their bilateral trade agreement.

Representatives from both nations will be in Washington, D.C. on Jan. 15 for a signing ceremony, President Trump said.

“I will be signing our very large and comprehensive Phase One Trade Deal with China on January 15,” he tweeted on Dec. 31. “The ceremony will take place at the White House. High level representatives of China will be present. At a later date I will be going to Beijing where talks will begin on Phase Two!”

The signing will come about one month after the two countries agreed on the text of the agreement.

The trade deal has major implications for the U.S. ag industry.

As part of the agreement, China will purchase up to US$50 billion worth of American ag products in 2020.

In 2018, while the two countries were in a trade war, the U.S. only exported US$9.2 billion worth of ag products to China.

The signing could raise commodity prices, which have seen some upward momentum since the text agreement on Dec. 13.

“The signing is widely expected to be received with relief by markets,” said Abhinesh Gopal, commodity analyst with Farms.com Risk Management. “Before we closed out 2019, the news that the phase one deal signing is close by already started supporting market prices. Grain prices have been more in the green since the trade deal news broke, and we are in the green again today.”

Farms.com has reached out to U.S. farm groups for comment.


Trending Video

Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.