Farms.com Home   Ag Industry News

Vilsack comments on Farm Income Forecast for 2016

Ag Secretary says America’s farm economy is strong

By Diego Flammini
Assistant Editor, North American Content
Farms.com

After the USDA’s Economic Research Service released its Farm Sector Income Forecast for 2016, Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack commented on the report’s findings.

Despite the forecast indicating a decline in farm income, Vilsack said the report highlights the resiliency of America’s farmers.

"(The) forecast continues to show that the health of the overall farm economy is strong in the face of challenging markets,” he said in a release. “After reaching record highs in 2012-2014, net farm income declined in 2015 and is forecast to decline in 2016, but the bigger picture shows that farm income over the last five-year period reflects the highest average five-year period on record.”

The report’s highlights include:

  • Cash receipts are forecast to fall $23.4 billion due to a $23.4 billion drop in animal/animal product receipts.
  • A slight gain in crop cash receipts is driven largely by a $5.3 billion increase in oil crop receipts.
  • Receipts for turkey, rye, cotton and tobacco are forecast to rise by 10 per cent or more.
  • The annual value of U.S. agricultural production is forecast at $403.7 billion, a 5.9 per cent decline from 2015.
  • Livestock production is forecast to drop by 13.3 per cent to $168.6 billion.

Despite forecasted declines in some agricultural sectors, Vilsack expressed his confidence that rural America can thrive going forward.

"The future of rural America looks much brighter today, but we must continue to focus on the targeted investments to help the rural economy retool itself for the 21st century,” he said in the release.


Trending Video

Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”

Video: Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”


After a week of a U.S./China trade truce, markets/trade is skeptical that we have not seen a signed agreement nor heard much from China or seen any details. There are rumors that China is buying soybean futures & not the physical. Trust in Trump?
12 MMT of U.S. soybean purchases by China by year-end is better than 0 but we all need to give it more time and give it a chance to unfold. China did lower the tariffs on Ag and is buying U.S. wheat and sorghum.
U.S. supreme court could rule against Trumps tariffs, but the Trump administration does have a plan B.
U.S. government shutdown is now the longest in history at 38 days.
But despite a U.S. government shutdown we will be getting a USDA November crop report next Friday and it could be “game changing.” If the USDA provides a bullish surprise with lower U.S. corn and soybean yields and ending stocks that are lower than expected both corn and soybean futures will break out above their ceilings at $4.35/bu and $11.35/bu respectively.
The funds continued their selling in live and feeder cattle futures on continued fears that the Trump administration want to lower U.S. beef prices. The fundamentals have not changed, only market psychology has.
Stocks markets continue to worry about a weak U.S. job market, but you can blame ChatGPT for that. In the future, we will have a more efficient, productive and growing economy with a higher unemployment rate until we have more skilled AI workers.
After 34 new record highs in the S & P 500 and 124 new records in the NASDAQ in 2025 we are back to a correction and investor profit taking as AI valuations may have gotten too stretched near-term ahead of NVDA’s 3rd quarter earnings announcement on Nov. 19th. But this is not an AI bubble.
75% of Tesla shareholders approved a $1 trillion pay package for Elon Musk!
It has rained in South America in the last 7 days, but both the American and European models agree that Central Brazil remains dry in the next 14-days!