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2015 A Strong Year For Arkansas Peanuts

By Ryan McGeeney
U of A System Division of Agriculture
 
  • Peanut acreage experiences strong growth over 2014
  • Runner peanuts currently fetching about $424 per ton 
 
Peanuts in Arkansas enjoyed their strongest numbers in four years as some growers in the Delta shifted acreage away from cotton. 
 
Travis Faske, extension plant pathologist for the University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture, said Arkansas growers planted about 16,325 acres, nearly a 60 percent increase over 2014. 
 
The number approaches 2012’s state high of 18,610 acres planted. Prior to that, peanuts were a rare specialty crop in the state, with fewer than 3,800 acres planted in 2011, and only about 560 acres planted in 2010. 
 
Faske said growers who planted early in the season enjoyed a surprising degree of success due to “good peanut-growing weather” throughout the year. 
 
“Some growers did really well when they planted early. We thought they were going to have some challenges, but they actually turned out really well,” Faske said. “Others who planted in May were kind of slow, due to cool weather, but caught up as conditions improved. 
 
“But things looked really good overall,” he said. “Disease pressure was low, and growers did a good job of controlling weed.” 
 
Faske said the quality of the year’s harvest was slightly lower than that of 2014, when most nuts fell in the mid-70’s on the 0-100 on the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Total Sound Mature Kernel scale, or TSMK. 
 
“We’re probably going to be a little bit lower in our grades this year,” he said. “I’m not sure if that’s weather-related, or if we’ve just got a lot more peanuts that are in different stages of maturity, but either may relate to some of the grading just being slightly off.” 
 
Although the U.S. Department of Agriculture doesn’t currently track peanut production in Arkansas, more than 21,000 tons of Arkansas peanuts were produced in 2014 according to data from the National Peanut Board, with a substantial increase in that number expected in 2015. 
 
After an explosion in U.S. peanut growth in 2012, when market prices sank as low as $385 per ton from as much as $1,000 per ton in 2011, prices have risen slightly for growers. According to a Nov. 24 USDA weekly price report, runner peanuts — which are typically used to make peanut butter, and are the most common type grown in Arkansas — are fetching about $424 per ton from buyers.
 

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Wheat Yields in USA and China Threatened by Heat Waves Breaking Enzymes

Video: Wheat Yields in USA and China Threatened by Heat Waves Breaking Enzymes

A new peer reviewed study looks at the generally unrecognized risk of heat waves surpassing the threshold for enzyme damage in wheat.

Most studies that look at crop failure in the main food growing regions (breadbaskets of the planet) look at temperatures and droughts in the historical records to assess present day risk. Since the climate system has changed, these historical based risk analysis studies underestimate the present-day risks.

What this new research study does is generate an ensemble of plausible scenarios for the present climate in terms of temperatures and precipitation, and looks at how many of these plausible scenarios exceed the enzyme-breaking temperature of 32.8 C for wheat, and exceed the high stress yield reducing temperature of 27.8 C for wheat. Also, the study considers the possibility of a compounded failure with heat waves in both regions simultaneously, this greatly reducing global wheat supply and causing severe shortages.

Results show that the likelihood (risk) of wheat crop failure with a one-in-hundred likelihood in 1981 has in today’s climate become increased by 16x in the USA winter wheat crop (to one-in-six) and by 6x in northeast China (to one-in-sixteen).

The risks determined in this new paper are much greater than that obtained in previous work that determines risk by analyzing historical climate patterns.

Clearly, since the climate system is rapidly changing, we cannot assume stationarity and calculate risk probabilities like we did traditionally before.

We are essentially on a new planet, with a new climate regime, and have to understand that everything is different now.