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A Dry September for Western Canada

After some welcome relief in August, much of September turned bone dry again across most of Western Canada.

As can be seen on the map below, aside from a few scattered pockets where rainfall was better – but still below normal – the main Prairie agricultural area has seen just 40% or less of normal precipitation over the past 30 days (shown in dark red). Combined with temperatures in the latter portion of September that were more like summer than fall, the dryness is once again ratcheting up worry over the 2022 growing season.

Indeed, a portion of the beneficial moisture that fell in August (and early September) in parts of Manitoba and Saskatchewan has now likely already been lost.

Meanwhile, the latest Canadian Agricultural Weather Prognosticator from World Weather Inc. suggests farmers ought not hold their breath waiting for much-needed moisture ahead of winter freeze up. Released last week, the report said a short-term bout of wetter weather is possible in October, although it won’t be nearly enough to end the current drought.

In fact, there is little chance that drought will not be carried into spring 2022, the report warned.

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This material is based upon work that is supported by the National Institute of Food and Agriculture, U.S. Department of Agriculture, under agreement number 2023-38640-39573 through the North Central Region SARE program under project number ENC23-226. USDA is an equal opportunity employer and service provider. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and should not be construed to represent any official USDA or U.S. Government determination or policy.