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Agriculture This Week: War changes how markets view crop supply

You would hope trade would generally work unfettered as a supply and demand system. 

If supplies are short demand should respond with better prices, and vice versa. 

For farm production we like to think that is the way things work best, but supply and demand is too often trumped by outside forces. 

Sometimes those forces are governments interfering on trade with tariffs and taxes to bolster domestic farm incomes, or limit exports, or to put pressure on other governments. 

Then there are times war sends shudders of concern through those involved in trade and that creates a huge wild card in terms of free-flowing trade.

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Why the Fertilizer Crisis Won’t End When the Iran War Does

Video: Why the Fertilizer Crisis Won’t End When the Iran War Does

The fertilizer crisis didn’t start with war — it revealed a system already under strain.

Seed World U.S. Editor Aimee Nielson breaks down what’s really happening in global fertilizer markets and why the impact on farmers may last far longer than current headlines suggest. Featuring insights from global fertilizer expert Melih Keyman and industry leaders Chris Abbott and Chris Turner, this conversation explores:

Why fertilizer supply was already tight before geopolitical disruption

What the Strait of Hormuz and global trade routes mean for input availability

How rising nitrogen prices are crushing farmer margins

Why this crisis could affect seed choices, crop mix and acreage decisions

The hidden risks around phosphate and sulfur supply

Why experts say this situation may get worse before it gets better

Even if tensions ease, the underlying issues — supply constraints, investment gaps and purchasing behavior — are still in play.

Watch to understand what this means for farmers, the seed industry and the future of global food production.