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Agriculture This Week: War changes how markets view crop supply

You would hope trade would generally work unfettered as a supply and demand system. 

If supplies are short demand should respond with better prices, and vice versa. 

For farm production we like to think that is the way things work best, but supply and demand is too often trumped by outside forces. 

Sometimes those forces are governments interfering on trade with tariffs and taxes to bolster domestic farm incomes, or limit exports, or to put pressure on other governments. 

Then there are times war sends shudders of concern through those involved in trade and that creates a huge wild card in terms of free-flowing trade.

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Wheat Futures Head for the Moon on Escalating Drought Concerns

Video: Wheat Futures Head for the Moon on Escalating Drought Concerns


???? Wheat surges on drought: Prices jumped to multi-week highs as worsening dryness grips the Plains, with 70% of winter wheat in drought. Corn edged higher, while soybeans slipped.

??????? Mixed weather pattern: Rain improved parts of the Corn Belt, but drought worsened elsewhere—especially the High Plains and Kentucky. Nebraska conditions sharply deteriorated, with 56% in extreme drought.

????? Oil spikes on tensions: Crude climbed over 3% near $96 as Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz restricted, while fragile ceasefires keep geopolitical risk elevated. ???? Pulses gain favor: Farmers are shifting to peas and lentils as a rare profit opportunity, driven by strong protein demand and lower input costs.

???? Exports mixed but solid: Corn sales dipped week-over-week but remain strong overall; soybean and wheat sales showed mixed trends, with steady global demand.