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Analyst sceptical about a return to $20/bushel canola prices

The sharp drop in canola prices caught more than a few people off guard last month.

But farmers hoping for a return to canola prices in the high teens will likely be disappointed, according to Mike Jubinville, the senior market analyst with MarketsFarm.

Speaking to farmers during a recent webinar, Jubinville described the price drop of canola as the March Massacre.

“Canola dropped about $100 a tonne in a very short period of time on the futures. To us, those losses seemed well over done, and we are seeing elements of a corrective rebound in the process,” Jubinville said. “Still, these macro economic worries that linger create a bit of a wet blanket on rally potential not just on canola, but I think for all commodities.”

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LALEXPERT: Sclerotinia cycle and prophylactic methods

Video: LALEXPERT: Sclerotinia cycle and prophylactic methods

White rot, also known as sclerotinia, is a common agricultural fungal disease caused by various virulent species of Sclerotinia. It initially affects the root system (mycelium) before spreading to the aerial parts through the dissemination of spores.

Sclerotinia is undoubtedly a disease of major economic importance, and very damaging in the event of a heavy attack.

All these attacks come from the primary inoculum stored in the soil: sclerotia. These forms of resistance can survive in the soil for over 10 years, maintaining constant contamination of susceptible host crops, causing symptoms on the crop and replenishing the soil inoculum with new sclerotia.