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Can You Take Me Higher

Creed’s song Higher, with its chorus “can you take me higher,” came to mind when learning of the latest increase in farmland values from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Despite many headwinds, farmland values continue to answer Creed’s question with an emphatic “yes”. The latest evidence comes from a survey of commercial bankers by the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. Bank economists Cortney Cowley, Jannety Mosely, and Ty Kreitman report bankers in the Tenth District (Nebraska, western Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Wyoming, and northern New Mexico) indicated the value for non-irrigated land rose 11 percent in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to 2022. Values on irrigated and pasture ground exceeded 2022 levels by 7 percent. The increases on non-irrigated and irrigated land in Nebraska were the highest in the district, up 15 percent and 9 percent, respectively. Pasture ground in Nebraska was up 3 percent. 

The growth in land values came despite lower commodity prices, higher interest rates, and reports of financial strain among producers.

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.