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Canola Down with Soy Complex, Prairie Rains

Canola futures ended weaker on Thursday, with the nearby July contract down its $30/tonne daily limit and more modest declines in the more deferred months.

Traders bailing out of long positions accounted for the selling pressure in July, with most of the commercial attention now on the new-crop contracts. Domestic crushers and line companies are generally pricing off of the November contract, for both old- and new-crop business, due to the volatility in July.

Losses in the Chicago Board of Trade soy complex and strength in the Canadian dollar contributed to the declines in canola. Widespread rains across Western Canada were also bearish for values. However, more precipitation will be needed going forward, with canola still looking relatively cheap given the tight supplies and solid demand projections.

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This material is based upon work that is supported by the National Institute of Food and Agriculture, U.S. Department of Agriculture, under agreement number 2023-38640-39573 through the North Central Region SARE program under project number ENC23-226. USDA is an equal opportunity employer and service provider. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and should not be construed to represent any official USDA or U.S. Government determination or policy.