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Canola Rallies with Soy Complex

Canola futures ended stronger on Wednesday, as a rally in the Chicago Board of Trade soy complex on the back of a pair of bullish reports provided support.

Acreage and quarterly stocks numbers from the USDA sparked a rally in soybeans, which spilled into canola, with planted area coming in well below trade expectations and quarterly stocks seen as tight. Record-high temperatures across Western Canada this week, with little precipitation in the immediate forecasts to alleviate the heat, contributed to the gains in canola.

Canadian markets will be closed Thursday for Canada Day, while US markets remain open. Positioning ahead of the holiday likely accounted for some of the activity in canola. U.S. markets will be closed Monday, July 5, for Independence Day.

July canola was up $30 at $839.50, November added $17.10 to $811.70 and January was $20.70 higher at $809.
 

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.