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Corn Prices Go Up, Dairy Herds Go Down, Milk Prices May Surge

Rising costs of cattle feed may signal a future spike in milk and dairy prices. According to Bloomberg, some dairy farmers are cutting their herds because corn has gotten ever more expensive; between June and September, operations across the country slashed their herds by some 85,000 head. That may not make a huge dent in milk production just yet. But analysts say that while the drops we’re already seeing may seem tiny numbers-wise, they’re actually significant—because small drops tend to be followed by bigger ones. Perhaps the scariest part of this article may be the brief butter forecast, described in one word as “limited.”

 
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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.