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Corn Prices Remain Low On Relatively Static Demand Estimates

With corn production estimates stable at 13.6 billion bushels in the 2015/16 season, farmers can still expect an average price of only $3.65 per bushel according U.S. Department of Agriculture reports released today. While all production data remained stable, demand estimates were revised to reflect newer information showing increases in the ethanol sector and decreased exports.

"We produce an abundant crop in a sustainable manner and, rightfully, are proud of doing so," said National Corn Growers Association President Chip Bowling, a farmer from Maryland. "It is time that our regulators and representatives in Washington, as well as their constituents back home, hear the truth. Corn provides an affordable, clean way to fuel and feed our nation. At NCGA, we will continue to tirelessly work to both have this message heard and build the demand needed to sustain our rural economies."

Yield projections continue to show a national average of 169.3 bushels per acre, which, if achieved, would be the second highest on record. With all production estimates unchanged since the November report, the ending stocks estimate was revised 25 million bushels higher due to revised demand estimates.

Weekly data from the Energy Information Administration showed stronger-than-expected ethanol production in November. USDA report raised projected ethanol demand by 25 million bushels on this data. Should the forecasts for 2015 and 2016 gasoline consumption in the December Short-term Energy Outlook hold true, it is possible ethanol demand figures could rise in the future despite EPA reductions to the Renewable Volume Obligations under the RFS made at the close of last month.
 

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.