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Feed Outlook, December 2019

With no new data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service this month, and steady demand from exports, food, seed, and industrial use, and feed and residual use, there were no balance sheet changes this month to corn, sorghum, or oats. Projected prices are unchanged for corn and sorghum and lowered 5-cents per bushel for barley and oats.
 
The global production of coarse grains is expected to expand month over month by 6.81 million metric tons. This revision is driven by record Chinese corn yields, which increased their total supply by 6.77 million tons and is expected to increase carryout in 2019/20. This change more than offsets reductions in Australian coarse grains production due to continued drought, amongst other small revisions.
 
 
 
Source : USDA

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Iran War = “Trend is Your Friend” Short-Term BUT……

Video: Iran War = “Trend is Your Friend” Short-Term BUT……


Historically wars like the 2026 Iran war are bullish hard assets like grains, metals and energy! The funds are spooked and do not want to be short, but do they price in the news over time, similar to the Ukraine/Russian war that started on Feb. 24, 2022? A closure of the Strait of Hormuz is the key to the surge in crude oil, natural gas prices and fertilizer prices.  Grains are breaking out to new contract highs as a hedge against inflation.