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Gentle Start to Fall for Most of Canada: Forecast

If the Weather Network’s official autumn forecast is accurate, an open fall is in the cards for many Canadian farmers this year. 

Released earlier this week, the forecast suggests a “gentle start” to the fall season for most of Canada (see maps below), with extended periods of pleasant weather deep into October. However, things are likely to change after that, with periods of more typical late-fall weather in November, which will include snow for many parts of the country. 

Along with relatively warmer temperatures, the early fall is also expected to bring drier-than normal weather to much of Manitoba and Saskatchewan – bad news for those areas still struggling with the remnants of the 2021 drought. However, more normal fall weather is expected to begin in late October and November, with overall precipitation for the season forecast to end up near normal. 

The forecast for Alberta is much the same, featuring a warm, dry start and then more typical fall weather later, along with mostly normal precipitation amounts. 

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Do Cold Temps Impact Emerging Corn & Soybeans? | Pioneer Agronomy

Video: Do Cold Temps Impact Emerging Corn & Soybeans? | Pioneer Agronomy

A cold snap swept across west central Minnesota and eastern South Dakota, bringing frost, fog, and temperatures dipping into the 20s—raising urgent questions about early crop damage.

Pioneer Agronomist Eric Rice breaks down what those overnight temperatures could mean for emerged corn and soybeans, how to assess frost injury, and why patience is key before making any replant decisions. Learn the critical differences between corn and soybean growing points, what cosmetic vs. serious damage looks like, and how last week’s high winds may also be influencing what you’re seeing in the field.

Watch for:

• Frost thresholds for early-season crop damage

• Why corn may be more resilient than it looks

• Soybean growth stages and frost susceptibility

• How to evaluate brittle stems and discolored tissue

• Why waiting 4–5 days before assessing stand loss matters

• When to contact your local Pioneer agronomist or sales representative