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International Trade Tension Impacting Homefront

Some of the ongoing issues Canada has with countries like China, Saudi Arabia and India are starting to impact confidence back here at home.
 
According to Reuters, trade confidence among Canadian exporters fell to its lowest level in nearly 10 years.
 
The numbers are from Canada's export credit agency. In the bi-annual survey of 1000 Canadian exporters, the trade confidence index fell to under 70 per cent the lowest levels since 2012 and 6 per cent below the survey's historical average.
 
A spokesman said trade barriers are now the number 1 challenge bigger than issues like finding skilled talent and financing.
 
The survey was done between mid-November and mid-December before the US and China signed phase 1 of their new trade agreement which could serve to ease some of those concerns this year.
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U.S.-China Trade “Truce” + U.S. Fed Cuts Rates Again

Video: U.S.-China Trade “Truce” + U.S. Fed Cuts Rates Again


The market was hoping for a US-China trade deal, but we got a trade “truce” for now from the keenly awaited Trump-Xi meeting at the APEC Summit.
China commits to minimum purchase commitments of 12 MMT of U.S. soybeans during the “current season” and a minimum of 25 MMT annually through 2028.
U.S. Treasury Sec Bessent said other Asian countries have agreed to buy additional 19 MMT of US soybean.
Soybean futures trading above $11 now- they normally tend to rally to $12.
As expected, US Fed cuts interest rates by -0.25% again in October to 3.75%–4.00%. No further cuts promised for this year but trade looking out to the Dec FOMC.
The Bank of Canada cut interest rates to 2.25% but raised concern over trade war damage.
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Cattle futures lower as funds unwind out of cattle for now due to Trump headlines and objective to lower beef prices.
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