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USDA’s Acreage report last month indicated that the 2020/21 soybean acreage is 83.8 million acres, a 10-percent recovery from 2019/20. A slightly higher harvested acreage estimate raises USDA’s forecast of 2020/21 soybean production by 10 million bushels from last month to 4.135 billion and from 3.55 billion last year. Changes for domestic soybean demand hike the expected season-ending stocks by 30 million bushels to 425 million. USDA raised its forecast of the 2020/21 U.S. average farm price by 30 cents per bushel this month to $8.50.

Source : usda.gov

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.