Farms.com Home   News

Market Outlook Warns Of Overproduction

 
The senior market analyst with FarmLink Marketing Solutions says farmers have had to work harder over the past couple of marketing years.
 
Neil Townsend notes in the past, high prices seemed to always have been there, adding this has not been the case recently.
 
He presented his 2018 market outlook last week at St Jean Farm Days.
 
"We think that prices are going to kind of struggle to maintain momentum if they start to go up. There's just a lot of crops around in the world, big supplies of wheat, corn and soybeans and those are going to keep the pressure on prices if they try to increase. That being said, we don't really see further declines because there's just enough of a weather threat say in North America to keep it a little bit honest."
 
His biggest concern moving forward is the lack of any real incremental demand.
 
"The job of a marketplace is to clear, and that means to find a price that puts stock levels in a manageable range. Right now we've been building stocks over the last few years and the stocks are getting rather burdensome. Typical behavior is, you find the high cost producer and you put him out of business. I don't think we're at that point right now, or at least nobody thinks they're the high cost producer because every farmer, everywhere around the world is continuing to produce, continuing to plant fence post to fence post."
 
Source : Steinbachonline

Trending Video

Higher Crude Oil Futures for Longer = Stagflation?

Video: Higher Crude Oil Futures for Longer = Stagflation?


Fears are starting to grow that higher crude oil futures for longer could see slower economic growth and higher inflation BUT…. At a meeting in Paris, the Chinese team said they would be willing to buy more non-U.S. soybean row crops???? Trump's delay with the Xi meeting (pushed out to end of April) was replaced with the Ag Appreciation Day” on March 27th, 2026. A dry weather pattern for the Central Plains/U.S. winter wheat country causing are wildfires in NE and breaking record temps for March. Stocks are officially in a correction as funds continue to sell the metals to buy energy and ag + more.