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More Dryness Expected for Southwestern Alberta this Fall

Mostly typical precipitation and temperatures are expected for the bulk of Western Canada this fall, although more dryness could be in store for a portion of Alberta still badly in need of relief. 

The Weather Network’s seasonal outlook suggests the months of October and November will bring drier than normal weather to the extreme southwestern portion of the province, including around Calgary. Near normal precipitation is expected elsewhere in Alberta but continued dryness in the south is more bad news for many farmers in the area who are coming off another poor production season caused by drought. 

As of the end of August, much of southern Alberta was already being impacted by a mix of severe to exceptional drought. 

The Weather Network’s long-term outlook also indicates the likelihood of generally warmer-than-normal temperatures in Alberta for the fall season, with a period of much colder temperatures preeceding a return to milder conditions for the end of autumn and the beginning of winter. 

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Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

Video: Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

A rapidly changing Midwest weather pattern is unfolding in 2026 as areas that recently slipped into abnormal dryness and flash drought conditions are now facing the threat of heavy rain and repeated storm systems.

After a wet spring erased early drought conditions, regions across Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northern Missouri have quickly dried out again since mid-to-late May. Soil moisture is dropping fast, and crops like corn and soybeans are beginning to feel the stress of rising temperatures and lack of consistent rainfall. Now, weather models show a major shift.

A developing system moving in from the Northern Plains is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across the Midwest. While some areas may miss out, others could finally see much-needed relief from the growing dryness. In this video, we break down:

Current drought conditions across the Midwest

Why a flash drought is developing quickly

Timing and path of incoming storm systems

Which states are most likely to see heavy rain

How long this wet pattern could last

Will this rain end the drought or create new flooding risks? Watch the full forecast to find out.