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Robust Cattle Prices

Prices for cattle strengthened in 2023 and more increases could be in the future. Recent prices for 500-600 lb. feeder steers in Nebraska were around $305 per cwt. compared to $220 a year ago. And while prices for live steers are off highs of a few months ago, recent sales at $174 per cwt. are higher compared to $156/cwt. at this time last year. The USDA WASDE projects lower beef production this year, projected down over 1 billion pounds. Meanwhile, domestic demand for beef is resilient. Kansas State University’s choice beef monthly demand index for October was higher compared to January 2023—a sign consumer demand is still steady. Beef exports, though, were lower in 2023 and are projected to fall even further in 2024.

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.