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USDA Releases December WASDE

The USDA released its December World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report on Thursday.

Dan Basse is president of AgResource Company in Chicago.

"Not a lot of changes," he said. "USDA put U.S. corn end stocks at 1.493 billion bushels. That's unchanged. Soybeans at 340 million bushels, unchanged...They lowered imports from Canada five million bushels because of your tight stocks and then cut exports 20, leaving stocks up 15 million bushels at 598. A historically tight number, but not as tight as last month."

Basse says globally they didn't make any changes with South American crops.

He notes the only change came in wheat where they raised the Australian crop to 34 million metric tonnes, almost a record.

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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.