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USDA report - increased cattle feedlot numbers amid droughts

The October cattle report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), as analyzed by Derrell Peel from Oklahoma State University, provides insightful updates on current cattle market trends. These findings were shared on the agricultural TV show “SUNUP,” highlighting: 

  • Feedlot Dynamics: The report indicates a 106% increase in cattle placements in feedlots from 2022, contrasting with a decrease in marketings to 89% of last year’s figure. This results in a 1% uptick in total feedlot numbers compared to October 2022, marking the first year-over-year increase in 2023. Factors such as lingering drought conditions and strong market prices have encouraged ranchers to place more cattle in feedlots, with feeder cattle being sold earlier to leverage high market prices. 

  • Heifer and Steer Insights: The number of heifers on feed has risen, reaching 40% of the total feedlot inventory, the highest percentage since 2001. This increase, coupled with ongoing beef cow slaughter, indicates that the beef industry continues to liquidate female cattle. 

  • Industry Outlook: The report suggests that the beef industry will face lower beef cow inventory by January 2024, extending the current tight supply situation. The industry is adjusting to these changes, with implications for future market conditions and strategies. 

This analysis of the USDA cattle report sheds light on the adaptive strategies of the beef industry in response to environmental challenges and market opportunities. It also highlights the importance of understanding these trends for stakeholders in the agricultural sector. 

Source : wisconsinagconnection

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Markets Continue to Chase Chinese Trade Headlines

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The U.S./China trade war has escalated after Trump threatened to slap 100% Tariff on China by Nov. 1 after China placed some export restrictions on rare earth minerals.
But Trump overstepped/overreacted but the meeting with Xi at the end of the month was still on even after Trump threatened China with an embargo on used cooking oil. The U.S./China were going to meet and talk about trade issues today ahead of the meeting with Xi/Trump in South Korea.
Despite the increased tensions and noise both the corn and soybean futures held support at $4.10 and $10 with a corrective bounce higher on news that U.S. corn yields are a concern.
U.S. soybean prices are $0.90 to $1.50 cheaper than Brazil.
News that China was willing to remove the tariffs on Canada if Canada would lift the 100% levies on Chinese EV vehicles sent funds short covering in canola futures. Canadian and Chinese met on Friday to discuss ag issues like canola and meat.
Stocks fell on the increased rise in tensions with the U.S./China and concerns over bad regional loans, but investors shake off the news on strong Q3 earnings from the big U.S. banks.
Wheat continued to trade to new 5-year lows while cattle were breaking out to new record highs as Trump was working his magic on lower U.S. beef prices.
U.S. crude oil continued its trend lower as did Bitcoin.