WASDE: Endings stocks of U.S. wheat for Current Year Projected 10 million Bushels Higher

U.S. wheat endings stocks for 2015/16 are projected 10 million bushels higher on reduced feed and residual use. At 976 million bushels, these would be the largest ending stocks since 1987. The reduced feed and residual use reflects lower disappearance during the December-February and September-November quarters as indicated by March 1 stocks and revised December 1 stocks, both from the March 31 Grain Stocks report. The projected season-average farm price is lowered $0.10 on the

high end to $4.90 to $5.00.

 

Global 2015/16 wheat supplies are raised 1.0 million tons primarily on increased production, which is a record 733.1 million tons. EU production is raised 1.5 million tons to a record 160.0 million, and Argentina is raised 0.3 million tons to 11.3 million, both on updated government data. Partially offsetting are a 0.6-million-ton reduction for Ethiopia, and a 0.4-million-ton reduction for Pakistan. World exports are raised 0.4 million tons to 163.1 million. World wheat consumption for 2015/16 is lowered 0.7 million tons on both reduced feed and food use. With supplies rising and use declining, global ending stocks are raised 1.7 million tons to 239.3 million, and remain record large.

Video: Why the Fertilizer Crisis Won’t End When the Iran War Does

The fertilizer crisis didn’t start with war — it revealed a system already under strain.

Seed World U.S. Editor Aimee Nielson breaks down what’s really happening in global fertilizer markets and why the impact on farmers may last far longer than current headlines suggest. Featuring insights from global fertilizer expert Melih Keyman and industry leaders Chris Abbott and Chris Turner, this conversation explores:

Why fertilizer supply was already tight before geopolitical disruption

What the Strait of Hormuz and global trade routes mean for input availability

How rising nitrogen prices are crushing farmer margins

Why this crisis could affect seed choices, crop mix and acreage decisions

The hidden risks around phosphate and sulfur supply

Why experts say this situation may get worse before it gets better

Even if tensions ease, the underlying issues — supply constraints, investment gaps and purchasing behavior — are still in play.

Watch to understand what this means for farmers, the seed industry and the future of global food production.