What to do when crop prices are volatile

Aug 08, 2023

"The crop growing period of market action is sometimes referred to as the ‘silly season’,” says Neil Blue, provincial crops market analyst with the Alberta government. “Dryness in both the Canadian Prairies and U.S. corn/soybean belt plus intensified Russian attacks on Ukraine grain export structures have caused a crop market price rally. Adding in the influences of the speculative trade results in an extremely volatile market. What can a producer do in this situation?"

First, Blue says producers should review their cash flow situation at least 2 or 3 months forward. What farm and personal expenses and what loans will require payments? What amounts from sources of cash inflow, be it product sales, other income, or loans will be available?

"The federal Advance Payments Program (APP) is a loan source to consider for cash flow needs,” says Blue. “Using farm commodities as security, the APP can potentially provide up to $1 million as an advance, with the first $350,000 of the advance interest free during this year. With a current chartered bank prime interest rate of 7.2%, the interest savings of accessing the APP advance can be significant."

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Video: Why Invest in Canada’s Seed Future? | On The Brink: Episode 3

Darcy Unger just invested millions to build a brand-new seed plant on his farm in Stonewall, Manitoba so when it’s time for his sons to take over, they have the tools they need to succeed.

Right now, 95% of the genetics they’ll be growing come from Canadian plant breeders.

That number matters.

When fusarium hit Western Canada in the late 90s, it was Canadian breeders who responded, because they understood Canadian conditions. That ability to react quickly to what’s happening on Canadian farms is exactly what’s at risk when breeding programs lose funding.

For farmers like Darcy, who have made generational investments based on the assumption that better genetics will keep coming, the stakes are direct and personal.

We’re on the brink of decisions that will shape our agricultural future for not only our generation, but also the ones to come.

What direction will we choose?

On The Brink is a year-long video series traveling across Canada to meet the researchers, breeders, farmers, seed companies, and policymakers shaping the future of Canadian plant breeding. Each week, a new story. Each story, a piece of the bigger picture.

Episode 3 is above. Follow Seed World Canada to catch every episode, and tell us: Do you think the next generation will have the tools they need to success when they takeover? How is the future going to look?