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Will Crop Prices Continue To Rise?

Canola and soybean prices have been on the rise as of late.
 
Dan Basse is president of AgResource Company in Chicago.
 
We asked Basse if he expects that trend to continue.
 
"We will see that continue if indeed there is a problem with South American crop sizes, either dry weather for Argentina or maybe a lower than expected yield for Brazil," he said. "At this point, China's made big purchases in the United States markets, we do have a new harvest coming forward in Brazil. I think you need be careful of being overly bullish up here, unless you have those crop problems."
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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.