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Winter Wheat Condition Improves Further with More Rain

With moisture levels improving, so is the condition of the 2025 US winter wheat crop. 

The condition of the nationwide crop was pegged at 44% good to excellent as of Sunday in Tuesday’s USDA crop progress report. That is up 3 points from a week earlier and exactly on par with the average pre-report trade guess. The condition of the crop has now improved 6 points over the past two weeks, after starting out with one of the lowest initial ratings on record due to dryness in large portions of the central Plains and Midwest. 

Meanwhile, that portion of the crop rated in poor to very poor condition declined to 18% as of Sunday, compared to 23% a week earlier. 

With recent rainfall that has dented abnormal dryness and drought, the overall condition of the crop is now just 3 points below last year. 

The crop in the No. 1 production state of Kansas was reported at 47% good to excellent as of Sunday, up 7 points from a week earlier and a 9-point improvement over the past two weeks. The Oklahoma crop was pegged at 28% good to excellent, down 3 points from a week earlier, although still up 7 points from two weeks ago. 

The condition of the Soft Red crop in Michigan jumped to 72% good to excellent from 64% the previous week, but the Ohio crop was down another 3 points to 65% after also losing an identical 3 points a week earlier. 

Across the country, 91% of the winter crop was planted as of Sunday, up from 87% a week earlier and just slightly behind 92% last year and 93% on average. 

An estimated 76% of the American crop has emerged as of Sunday, versus 66% a week earlier and 79% for last year and the average. 

Emergence continues to lag badly in Oklahoma, where producers awaited better soil moisture conditions before pushing ahead with planting. The crop in the state was just 63% emerged as of Sunday, well up from 47% the previous week but behind 77% last year and 80% on average. The Kansas crop was 84% emerged, 3 points ahead of the state average. 

The Michigan and Ohio winter wheat crops were 92% and 86% emerged, respectively, versus 83% and 86% on average. 

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