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New trade war fears impact U.S. agriculture exports

Nov 13, 2024
By Farms.com

Farmers anticipate challenges as Trump proposes new tariffs

The U.S. agricultural sector is gearing up for possible new trade conflicts with China following President-elect Donald Trump's threats of imposing significant tariffs.

This development comes as U.S. agricultural exports to China, particularly soybeans, have seen a substantial decrease, with a 24% reduction last year to $29.1 billion.

Jason Hafemeister of the USDA highlighted ongoing efforts to diversify export markets in light of potential disruptions. "Even in the last couple of years, we’ve recognized the potential for disruption in U.S.-China trade," he said, stressing the importance of market diversification. 

Trump's proposed tariffs include a 60% levy on Chinese goods and a 10% tariff on all other imports, raising concerns about retaliatory measures from China and other trading partners.

This could further restrict access to crucial markets for U.S. farmers at a time when the agriculture sector is already facing a record projected trade deficit of $42.5 billion by 2025.

In response, the U.S. farming industry is not just bracing for impact but actively seeking expansion into alternative markets in Southeast Asia, Africa, and India.  

Ryan LeGrand and Verity Ulibarri from the U.S. Grains Council underscored the strategic shift towards diversifying and mitigating trade war risks.

"As we look to the future as to what may or may not happen, having that experience gives us more of a feeling of how to navigate that. We’re not scared, we know there are risks," said Ulibarri.

This proactive stance is crucial as trade dynamics continue to shift, with Mexico emerging as the top agricultural export market for the U.S., overtaking China.


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