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South Texas Heat Driving Successful Cotton, Corn, Sorghum Crops

By  Rod Santa
 
South Texas row crop producers are likely to answer with a smile when asked the age old ice-breaker, “Hot enough for you?”
 
Plentiful rainfall late last year combined with mostly hot, dry weather since have helped growers produce vigorous crops of cotton, grain sorghum and corn and healthy yields, according to experts with the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service.
 
“We’re winding down a very good crop year for the Rio Grande Valley,” said Brad Cowan, AgriLife Extension agent for Hidalgo County. “We had a lot of rain last fall and winter that replenished deep soil moisture and contributed to the higher-than-normal yields for grain sorghum and corn crops.”
 
The cotton crop harvest of almost 130,000 acres is currently underway and is expected to produce above average yields, he said.
 
Danielle Sekula-Ortiz, the AgriLife Extension integrated pest management agent in Weslaco, said the heat helped crops mature quickly, allowing growers to harvest before insect pressures could build.
 
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A harvester strips cotton bolls from plants in Cameron County, adding to this year’s highly successful row crops season. 
 
“Unlike last year, even late-planted grain sorghum matured quickly this year so that by late June most of it had been harvested,” she said. “We know that populations of sugarcane aphids peak on grain sorghum twice per season. Growers were able to control the aphids with a spray application for the first peak, and many avoided a second spray by harvesting before the second peak in late June, July.”
 
Sekula-Ortiz said the Valley’s acreage of grain sorghum this year was lower than average at about 300,000 acres compared to the normal 400,000 acres. She said many growers turned to corn instead, which also did well.
 
“Corn yields were excellent, even in the dryland acres of the McCook area,” she said. “Grain sorghum also yielded well, both dryland and irrigated.”
 
Sekula-Ortiz said irrigated grain sorghum crops yielded an average of 7,000 pounds per acre, while dryland fields yielded as high as 4,000 pounds per acre.
 
“A lot depended on grower control of the sugarcane aphids,” she said. “Most growers had to spray only once this year. Those who were proactive and stayed ahead of the game, spraying before populations got too high, did well.”
 
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The Rio Grande Valley’s relentless heat helped the 2016 grain sorghum, cotton and corn crops mature quickly with abundant yields. Sorghum and corn have been harvested; cotton harvesting is just getting underway. 
 
But for those who didn’t treat in a timely fashion, yields were affected by as much as 1,500 pounds per acre, she said.
 
“I’m happy that grain sorghum growers didn’t have to struggle with gummed-up harvesting equipment this year from high populations of sugarcane aphids.”
 
The lack of rain also kept insect pressures relatively low in cotton, she said.
 
“Cotton started off with higher-than-normal numbers of thrips, and flea hoppers were moderate, but the main pest of our cotton crop was tarnished plant bugs,” Sekula-Ortiz said. “They tend to puncture small immature cotton bolls and stain the lint, which reduces its value. And whiteflies were seen late in the season, but most growers were able to defoliate and will harvest their crop before they become a serious issue.”
 
The atmospheric “puzzle pieces” fell together nicely to help produce the area’s healthy summer crops, according to Barry Goldsmith, the warning coordinator meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Brownsville.
 
“I believe the following trends for the past nine months made all the difference,” he said. “A wet September/October, dry and mild January through February, increasing rainfall from March to May — even though temperatures were warmer than average — then the perfect conditions for crop drying from mid-June through the end of July.”
 
Goldsmith said a timely atmospheric “river” of tropical moisture-laden air surged across the region in October, leaving rainfall of three to six times the average. Growers might expect rainfall to increase again in August as “climatologically the average daily rainfall increases dramatically between the 15th and the end of the month.”
 
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Sugarcane aphids — the tiny yellow dots seen on this grain sorghum leaf — were not a concern for the Valley’s grain sorghum producers who managed to stay one step ahead of the pests’ damaging effects.
 
But there are signals that suggest “a drier than average August and September, followed by a dry autumn and winter, but time will tell,” he said.
 
While the weather has cooperated, world market forces do not look encouraging for corn and grain sorghum producers.
 
Dr. Mark Welch, AgriLife Extension grains marketing economist, College Station, said increased corn acreage nationwide and favorable growing conditions have negatively affected corn and grain sorghum prices, and a decrease in export demand for U.S. grain sorghum isn’t helping.
 
“That decrease and a record U.S. grain sorghum yield last year and good yields forecast for 2016 have combined to push grain sorghum prices lower,” he said.
 
Prices this year are between $5 and $6 per hundredweight, down from last year’s $7 to $8 per hundredweight, a drop of 25 to 30 percent, he said.
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Agricultural Market Update: Grain Prices, Crop Conditions, and Weather Impacts

Welcome back to our channel where we provide comprehensive updates on the latest trends and changes in the agricultural sector. This week, we're looking at significant movements in grain prices, crop conditions, and the effects of weather patterns. Let's dive into the details:

Grain Price Decline Grain prices have fallen to their lowest levels since 2020, with December corn down 4.3% and November soybeans losing 3.1%. This decline is partly due to the beneficial moisture brought by Hurricane Beryl to the Midwest, which has improved crop conditions significantly. The USDA reported that corn and soybean crops are in their best condition in four years, contributing to the downward pressure on prices.

Record Short Positions and Market Sentiment Fund traders have increased their net short positions in the corn market to a record level, with a net short of 347,000 contracts of corn. This reflects a bearish sentiment in the market, further influencing grain price dynamics. Similar selling trends were observed in soybeans and SRW wheat, indicating broad market caution.

Weather Impact and Forecast Hurricane Beryl has brought significant rainfall across Arkansas, Missouri, western Tennessee, western Kentucky, and southern Illinois, with more expected over Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana in the coming days. Despite this, the market is currently more focused on the moisture benefits rather than potential heat risks forecasted in the 6-10 and 8-14 day periods.

US Crop Conditions Corn and soybean conditions have shown slight improvements last week, with corn rated 68% good to excellent and soybeans at 68%. These are among the best ratings for this time of year since 2020, suggesting robust crop health that could continue to influence grain prices.

Winter Wheat Harvest and Spring Wheat Conditions The US winter wheat harvest is progressing well, ahead of schedule with significant portions already harvested in Kansas and Texas. Spring wheat conditions are also favorable, with 75% rated good to excellent, although there have been some declines in states like Idaho, South Dakota, and Washington. Brazil's Corn Harvest and US Exports Brazil's second corn crop harvest is advancing rapidly due to favorable hot and dry conditions, with 63% of the crop already harvested. Meanwhile, US corn shipments saw a substantial increase last week, indicating strong export demand, which contrasts with the recent drop in domestic grain prices.

Ongoing Developments Lastly, the USDA reported a flash sale of corn, with significant quantities sold to unknown destinations, scheduled for delivery over the next two marketing years. This could signal ongoing international demand for US corn despite lower prices.

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