Survey Shows Dealers Expect Revenues For Precision Farming Services To Slow

 

Increasing the revenue stream from the sale of precision farming equipment and service in 2016 is expected to remain a significant challenge for North American dealers. At the same time, according to Precision Farming Dealer's 2016 Benchmark Study, 40% of the total survey respondents are confident that they'll be able to increase revenue during the current sales year. 

 

Only 21.1% of dealers expect any fall off in revenue, a considerable improvement from last year's results when 35.5% of dealers predicted declining revenues. When it comes to forecasting strong growth, however, fewer dealers expect a significant gain in sales dollars in the precision segment of their business. 

 

Just one in 10 dealers are projecting revenue increases of over 8% for this year vs. 18% a year ago. This marks a continuing downward trend in strong growth expectations among dealers since the 2014 survey when 30% anticipated revenue growth of 8% or more. On the other hand, based on responses gathered during the first quarter of 2016 from 27 different states and Canada, 22.2% of dealers reported precision revenue declines of at least 8% in 2015, more than double the 10.6% projected by respondents in last year's benchmark study. 

 

The percentage of dealers reporting a 2-7% decline in 2015 revenue was about 2% less than forecast in last year's benchmark study, 15.1% vs. 13.3%. As expected, a lower percentage of dealers saw revenue growth in 2015, with 41.2% reporting increases of at least 2% - short of the 48.5% forecast in last year's benchmark study. 

 

Also noteworthy is that only 17.9% of dealers reported revenue increases of at least 8% year-over-year vs. 19.7% in 2014-2015 and 30.3% in 2013-2014. 

 

 

While it's not surprising to see the pace of precision revenue growth slow down, it's worth noting a shift in the coming year in how dealers generate income. The past 3 years had seen a gradual decline in sales of hardware as the dominant moneymaker, while revenue from supplemental services steadily grew. Both trends stalled this year, as hardware sales rebounded to account for 53.4% of total precision revenue, up from 49.4% in 2015. 

 

While nowhere close to the 62% total in 2013, the increase in hardware revenue is closer to the 57.5% from 2 years ago. Dealers often point to a saturated market for precision mainstays like GPS receivers, monitors and auto-steer systems, but some are finding success selling complementary components or tapping into niche technology markets, which could explain the increase in hardware sales. 

 

However, dealers have also acknowledged a need to decrease their dependence on core precision products as the primary profit center. This was reflected in prior benchmark studies with annual increases in revenue from precision support and data management service. But both percentages took a step back in 2016. Precision service/support revenue dipped to 17.3%, after 2 years of growth. 

 

Since 2013, revenue from this area had increased by nearly 10%, from 13.7% in 2013 to 18.9% in 2014 and 22.2% last year, according to the most recent survey. The percentage of revenue dealers receive from data management service also declined this year to 5.3%, after a rapid rise. Starting at less than less than 1% in 2013, data management service increased to 7.1% in 2014 and 10.4% last year. 

 

 

One of the ongoing challenges for many dealers is deciding how to structure the precision farming segment of their business. In last year's report, 66.7% of dealers said they operated a separate department for their precision farming segment, and 68.6% had a dedicated precision salesperson responsible for technology sales. 

 

Both of those percentages declined this year, with 61.4% of respondents saying they have a designated precision department and 57.5% indicating they have a dedicated precision salesperson on staff. Part of the dip can be attributed to more dealers citing farm equipment salespeople as their primary precision sellers, increasing from 23.4% last year to 31% in 2016. Consistent with 2015, smaller percentages of dealers continue to rely on their parts (5.7%) or service (3.5%) departments for precision product sales. 

 

A new category added this year was staff agronomist, and 2.3% of dealers utilize this position as their primary precision salesperson. Also asked this year was whether dealerships require agronomic training for precision specialists, with 22.8% saying they do. It will be interesting to observe if either or both of these percentages increase in the future. 

 

In all likelihood, it will depend on how aggressive or tentative dealers are in developing agronomic services. But this much is known - agronomists are well paid members of a dealership's precision team. For the first time with this year's study, we asked dealers to share salary ranges for key precision staff. Agronomists edged out precision ag managers, 45% to 43.5%, as the largest group of precision employees earning at least $71,000 per year. 

 

However, 17.4% of precision ag managers earn at least $86,000 per year, compared to 10% for agronomists. It's also worth noting that at least 5% of agronomists and precision ag managers fell within each of the 5 different salary ranges, revealing a broad spectrum of how dealerships compensate these employees.