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Farmers Predict the 2025 Election Outcome

Farmers Predict the 2025 Election Outcome
Apr 23, 2025
By Mathew Murphy
Assistant Editor, North American Content, Farms.com

Insights from the Prairies as Agriville users debate the future of Canada’s leadership

As the 2025 federal election draws near, farmers and rural voices on Agriville.com are weighing in with candid opinions and predictions.

The thread titled “Election 2025 Predictions” captures a mix of skepticism, frustration, and guarded hope—along with sharp commentary on the country’s political direction.

For many, the expectation is more of the same.

Several posters doubt the Conservative Party will gain enough ground to form government, predicting only a modest “blue ripple” in Western ridings.

Others are more optimistic, suggesting surprise CPC wins in pockets of the country—but most agree that Ontario, Quebec, and the Maritimes will determine the outcome.

One user bluntly stated, “Western Canadian votes won’t matter.”

Among the most discussed points are frustrations with NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, whom several posters believe enabled the Liberal government to remain in power without demanding sufficient accountability.

One commenter remarked that Singh had significant influence during this Parliament but did not use it as effectively as past NDP leaders.

While Pierre Poilievre isn’t universally loved— some posters questioned his public persona—he’s still seen by most of the forum as the only viable option to prevent a Carney-led Liberal government.

Mark Carney has become a lightning rod in the discussion, viewed by some as a “parachute candidate” disconnected from Western Canada.

Farmers express particular anxiety over his climate and tax policies, especially potential changes to capital gains, carbon pricing, and property ownership.

There’s fear that his version of a net-zero future could come at the expense of the rural economy. “If you are a farmer, you better have a plan in place,” one warned.

Still, others in the thread push back on alarmism.

One contributor noted that his financial well-being hasn’t been significantly influenced by any federal government over the past several decades, instead attributing his success to professional advisors.

He shared that his vote tends to support policies aimed at helping those in less fortunate circumstances.

That viewpoint prompted responses from others who argued that broader government decisions—such as policy missteps, excessive spending, or inefficient project management—do have tangible effects on individuals.

One user pointed out that while some may be doing well, their financial situation could be even stronger without what they see as federal mismanagement.

Underlying much of the conversation is a familiar Western Canadian sentiment: a sense of political alienation.

Multiple users called for a federal Western party like the Bloc Québécois to represent Alberta and Saskatchewan more directly, lamenting that Eastern priorities often override rural needs.

Some posts also noted the momentum of advance voting and shifting trends in political forecasting.

Over seven million Canadians have voted early by April 22, a figure that sparked some hope that change might be coming.

One user shared odds from Polymarket, where international bettors are leaning toward a Liberal win.

Another referenced a federal report from the Privy Council forecasting potential societal decline by 2040, saying current trends, if unchecked, could bring serious long-term consequences.

Whether those predictions pan out remains to be seen, but if the Agriville thread is any indication, many rural voters are feeling unheard, underrepresented, and uncertain.

Interested in what the federal parties are saying they’ll do for ag? If so, check out these articles:

Ag and Rural Commitments in the Conservative Platform

Ag and Rural Promises in the Liberal Platform

Ag in the Green and NDP Platforms


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